---
title: "Purra, ministerial resignations, taxes and opinion polls | Sami Miettinen | Negotiator 203"
titleOriginal: "Gallup-pelleilyä Riikka Purra | Sami Miettinen | Neuvottelija 203"
episodeNumber: "203"
guest: "Sami Miettinen"
datePublished: 2023-07-24
duration: "17:15"
youtube: "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM"
originalLanguage: "fi"
topics: ["free_speech_society","finnish_economy_policy"]
subtitleMethod: "none"
provenance: "Owner page assembled from YouTube metadata, the neuvottelija.fi episode record and the publisher's own chapter marks, translated one for one; their spacing is irregular and matches the recording. This is a solo episode, so the guest field carries the host. No transcript is published here — the channel has no English caption track for this episode and the Finnish one is YouTube's automatic track. The commentary is the host's own and the publications criticised are not represented; the long-form write-up in the Neuvottelija AI editions treats the sampling question openly and unpacks the eight billion claim so a reader can check it."
fiCanonical: "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/fi/episodes/307-gallup-pelleilya-riikka-purra-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija-20"
canonical: https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen/
---
# Purra, ministerial resignations, taxes and opinion polls | Sami Miettinen | Negotiator 203

English subtitles are not available on this page. This is an episode summary, not a curated transcript.

## Chapters

- [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=0s) Summer greetings, and the theme: opinion polls
- [00:33](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=33s) A broadcaster's survey on Purra's resignation, and a small sample
- [01:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=78s) Two Twitter polls saying the opposite
- [02:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=160s) The channel's own polls on government formation before the election
- [03:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=239s) A newspaper poll: the right-wing government still has support
- [05:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=312s) A minister's resignation, and 23 changes under the previous government
- [06:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=399s) A request for company analyses from smallest to largest
- [07:24](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=444s) Prigozhin's mutiny, and a guess at his fate
- [08:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=495s) Guest appearances, and Credit Suisse
- [09:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=568s) Finland is a poor Western country
- [10:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=607s) What device are you watching on: thoughts on 4K
- [11:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=700s) A newspaper's tax rate error and the eight billion illusion
- [13:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=837s) Ukraine's grain agreement
- [15:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM&t=949s) Women's membership of the stock exchange club as a negotiation problem

## Summary

A July 2023 summer episode in which Sami Miettinen goes through the season's surveys alone: a broadcaster's online panel on Riikka Purra's resignation, two Twitter polls that say the opposite, a newspaper poll, and the channel's own votes. None of the surveys named is a probability sample, which is the thread running through the episode. Its weightiest single claim is an eight billion euro error in a reported tax rate, set out so a reader can check it. A solo episode and the host's own commentary throughout.

## The thread

None of the surveys in this episode is a probability sample: an online panel, two Twitter
polls and the channel's own votes. The most useful moment is the two Twitter polls
reaching opposite conclusions about the same question, which makes the limitation
concrete rather than theoretical — and it applies equally to the results the host
welcomes.

## The checkable claim

The eight billion euro error in a reported tax rate is set out with enough of its working
shown that a reader can test it, which is the standard a contested number deserves.


## Watch

The recording lives on the Neuvottelija channel: [Gallup-pelleilyä Riikka Purra | Sami Miettinen | Neuvottelija 203](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM).
A Finnish edition of this episode is published at [www.neuvottelija.fi](https://www.neuvottelija.fi/fi/episodes/307-gallup-pelleilya-riikka-purra-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija-20).

## In depth

The Neuvottelija AI editions carry a long-form write-up of this episode:
[English](https://www.neuvottelija.com/ai/ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen/) · [suomeksi](https://www.neuvottelija.fi/yhteiskunta/ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen/).

---

Cite as: Sami Miettinen, Neuvottelija — Purra, ministerial resignations, taxes and opinion polls | Sami Miettinen | Negotiator 203, https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen/, 2023-07-24. For quotes include episode 203 and timestamp.