{
  "title": "Taxes, Wealth and AI | Elias Erämaja | Neuvottelija 410",
  "titleOriginal": "Verot, varallisuus ja tekoäly | Elias Erämaja | Neuvottelija 410",
  "episodeNumber": "410",
  "guest": "Elias Erämaja",
  "publishedAt": "2026-09-29",
  "duration": "56:43",
  "durationIso": "PT56M43S",
  "youtube": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iwwEdzwsEZU",
  "fiCanonical": "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/fi/episodes/855-verot-varallisuus-ja-tekoaly-elias-eramaja-neuvottelija-410/",
  "originalLanguage": "fi",
  "format": "full",
  "topics": [
    "ownership_capital_tax",
    "finnish_economy_policy",
    "ai_enterprise_tech"
  ],
  "description": "Elias Erämaja, chief economist of Suomen Ekonomit, and Sami Miettinen on why Finland's economy is in surprisingly good shape despite a halved Q2 flash estimate, the cut in the top marginal tax rate from 59 to 52 percent and the cost of a further step to 50, and the Finland–Sweden wealth gap read by mean and by median. The AI section covers business graduates as natural AI users, whether productivity is zero-sum, public-sector productivity and triage, and why an AI tax has no workable definition. Erämaja speaks for an interest group that campaigns for lower marginal taxes.",
  "chapters": [
    {
      "t": "00:00",
      "title": "Preview of the episode's highlights",
      "seconds": 0
    },
    {
      "t": "01:24",
      "title": "The woolly-jumper economist, the social sciences faculty and business school",
      "seconds": 84
    },
    {
      "t": "03:05",
      "title": "Finland's economy in surprisingly good shape",
      "seconds": 185
    },
    {
      "t": "04:24",
      "title": "Statistics Finland's flash estimates and GDP revisions",
      "seconds": 264
    },
    {
      "t": "05:43",
      "title": "Construction, data centres and cheaper housing",
      "seconds": 343
    },
    {
      "t": "08:20",
      "title": "From talk of tax rises to marginal tax cuts",
      "seconds": 500
    },
    {
      "t": "10:03",
      "title": "Pension contributions and YEL as a brake on the marginal rate",
      "seconds": 603
    },
    {
      "t": "11:58",
      "title": "The defence tax and the well-timed consolidation",
      "seconds": 718
    },
    {
      "t": "13:02",
      "title": "AI looks for bias in the flash estimates",
      "seconds": 782
    },
    {
      "t": "14:54",
      "title": "The Finland–Sweden wealth gap since 2004",
      "seconds": 894
    },
    {
      "t": "16:43",
      "title": "The wealthy half owns the employing companies",
      "seconds": 1003
    },
    {
      "t": "18:30",
      "title": "The Swedish election and Ricardo's comparative advantage",
      "seconds": 1110
    },
    {
      "t": "20:10",
      "title": "Left-wing populism in the US, Europe and Finland",
      "seconds": 1210
    },
    {
      "t": "22:20",
      "title": "Anti-AI sentiment and regulation-led Europe",
      "seconds": 1340
    },
    {
      "t": "23:41",
      "title": "US frontier models vs China's energy and infrastructure",
      "seconds": 1421
    },
    {
      "t": "25:15",
      "title": "159 billion of public consumption and AI productivity",
      "seconds": 1515
    },
    {
      "t": "26:39",
      "title": "Why a business graduate is the perfect AI user",
      "seconds": 1599
    },
    {
      "t": "29:32",
      "title": "Redrawing processes is not a zero-sum game",
      "seconds": 1772
    },
    {
      "t": "31:12",
      "title": "The androidised individual vs the promptable employee",
      "seconds": 1872
    },
    {
      "t": "34:04",
      "title": "Public-sector productivity and AI triage",
      "seconds": 2044
    },
    {
      "t": "37:02",
      "title": "Measuring teachers, PISA and class sizes",
      "seconds": 2222
    },
    {
      "t": "39:00",
      "title": "AI tutors, children and IQ towards 130",
      "seconds": 2340
    },
    {
      "t": "41:34",
      "title": "Sisäpiiri, Samantha and the AI investing challenge",
      "seconds": 2494
    },
    {
      "t": "43:42",
      "title": "Japan's long rates and the deflation thesis",
      "seconds": 2622
    },
    {
      "t": "45:04",
      "title": "Real signals from satellite images and the arrogance of macro bets",
      "seconds": 2704
    },
    {
      "t": "46:36",
      "title": "Spend it — you can't take the money to the grave",
      "seconds": 2796
    },
    {
      "t": "47:52",
      "title": "Survey: high marginal tax holds back side work",
      "seconds": 2872
    },
    {
      "t": "50:12",
      "title": "Tax morale and AI work as grey economy",
      "seconds": 3012
    },
    {
      "t": "52:17",
      "title": "AI tax, presumptive taxation and exit tax",
      "seconds": 3137
    },
    {
      "t": "54:30",
      "title": "Option taxation and imagined risk-free returns",
      "seconds": 3270
    },
    {
      "t": "56:15",
      "title": "Thanks and the Sisäpiiri deflation discussion",
      "seconds": 3375
    }
  ],
  "sourceTranscriptType": "none",
  "subtitleMethod": "none",
  "provenance": "Owner page assembled from YouTube metadata, the neuvottelija.fi episode record and the publisher's own chapter marks, translated one for one. The summary was written from YouTube's automatic Finnish captions, so quotations are paraphrased rather than verbatim. The side-work survey figures were checked against the published results (Aula Research for Suomen Ekonomit, 1,013 respondents, May 2026). No English caption track exists, so no transcript is published here.",
  "slug": "ep410-verot-varallisuus-ja-tekoaly-elias-eramaja",
  "guestsCanonical": [
    "Elias Erämaja"
  ],
  "guestPages": [
    "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/guests/elias-eramaja/"
  ],
  "page": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep410-verot-varallisuus-ja-tekoaly-elias-eramaja/",
  "markdown": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep410-verot-varallisuus-ja-tekoaly-elias-eramaja/index.md",
  "captions": null,
  "transcript": null,
  "videoId": "iwwEdzwsEZU",
  "dbId": null,
  "qaCoveragePct": 0.0,
  "qaSemanticVerdict": "metadata_only"
}