{"title": "Purra, ministerial resignations, taxes and opinion polls | Sami Miettinen | Negotiator 203", "titleOriginal": "Gallup-pelleilyä Riikka Purra | Sami Miettinen | Neuvottelija 203", "episodeNumber": "203", "guest": "Sami Miettinen", "publishedAt": "2023-07-24", "duration": "17:15", "durationIso": "PT17M15S", "youtube": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7WyWSt0J_qM", "fiCanonical": "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/fi/episodes/307-gallup-pelleilya-riikka-purra-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija-20", "originalLanguage": "fi", "format": "full", "topics": ["free_speech_society", "finnish_economy_policy"], "description": "A July 2023 summer episode in which Sami Miettinen goes through the season's surveys alone: a broadcaster's online panel on Riikka Purra's resignation, two Twitter polls that say the opposite, a newspaper poll, and the channel's own votes. None of the surveys named is a probability sample, which is the thread running through the episode. Its weightiest single claim is an eight billion euro error in a reported tax rate, set out so a reader can check it. A solo episode and the host's own commentary throughout.", "chapters": [{"t": "00:00", "title": "Summer greetings, and the theme: opinion polls", "seconds": 0}, {"t": "00:33", "title": "A broadcaster's survey on Purra's resignation, and a small sample", "seconds": 33}, {"t": "01:18", "title": "Two Twitter polls saying the opposite", "seconds": 78}, {"t": "02:40", "title": "The channel's own polls on government formation before the election", "seconds": 160}, {"t": "03:59", "title": "A newspaper poll: the right-wing government still has support", "seconds": 239}, {"t": "05:12", "title": "A minister's resignation, and 23 changes under the previous government", "seconds": 312}, {"t": "06:39", "title": "A request for company analyses from smallest to largest", "seconds": 399}, {"t": "07:24", "title": "Prigozhin's mutiny, and a guess at his fate", "seconds": 444}, {"t": "08:15", "title": "Guest appearances, and Credit Suisse", "seconds": 495}, {"t": "09:28", "title": "Finland is a poor Western country", "seconds": 568}, {"t": "10:07", "title": "What device are you watching on: thoughts on 4K", "seconds": 607}, {"t": "11:40", "title": "A newspaper's tax rate error and the eight billion illusion", "seconds": 700}, {"t": "13:57", "title": "Ukraine's grain agreement", "seconds": 837}, {"t": "15:49", "title": "Women's membership of the stock exchange club as a negotiation problem", "seconds": 949}], "sourceTranscriptType": "none", "subtitleMethod": "none", "provenance": "Owner page assembled from YouTube metadata, the neuvottelija.fi episode record and the publisher's own chapter marks, translated one for one; their spacing is irregular and matches the recording. This is a solo episode, so the guest field carries the host. No transcript is published here — the channel has no English caption track for this episode and the Finnish one is YouTube's automatic track. The commentary is the host's own and the publications criticised are not represented; the long-form write-up in the Neuvottelija AI editions treats the sampling question openly and unpacks the eight billion claim so a reader can check it.", "coreTheses": ["None of the surveys discussed is a probability sample, which limits what any of them can support — including the ones whose results the host likes.", "Two Twitter polls reaching opposite conclusions about the same question is the cleanest illustration of that limit.", "The eight billion euro tax rate claim is set out in enough detail to be checked, which is the right standard for a contested number.", "A solo episode: the commentary is the host's own throughout."], "slug": "ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen", "guestsCanonical": [], "guestPages": [], "page": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen/", "markdown": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen/index.md", "captions": null, "transcript": null, "videoId": "7WyWSt0J_qM", "dbId": null, "qaCoveragePct": 0.0, "qaSemanticVerdict": "metadata_only", "aiArticleEn": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/ai/ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen/", "aiArticleFi": "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/yhteiskunta/ep203-purran-ja-ministerien-erot-gallupit-sami-miettinen/"}