{
  "title": "The Right-Wing Government Pulled It Off! | Marko Junkkari | Neuvottelija 196",
  "titleOriginal": "Oikeistohallitus onnistui! | Marko Junkkari | Neuvottelija 196",
  "episodeNumber": "196",
  "guest": "Marko Junkkari",
  "publishedAt": "2023-06-16",
  "duration": "46:13",
  "durationIso": "PT46M13S",
  "youtube": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AJPl-P7Ph0Y",
  "fiCanonical": "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/fi/episodes/288-oikeistohallitus-onnistui-marko-junkkari-neuvottelija-196",
  "originalLanguage": "fi",
  "format": "full",
  "topics": [
    "finnish_economy_policy",
    "leadership_governance",
    "free_speech_society"
  ],
  "description": "Marko Junkkari, political journalist at Helsingin Sanomat and a regular on the Uutisraportti podcast, assesses Petteri Orpo's forming government with Sami Miettinen the day before the programme was published, so everything said is the state of knowledge at the time of recording rather than a report of what was agreed. Junkkari's picture is that leaks have been unusually scarce over two months. Three market liberalisations are traced: parliamentary unanimity on opening Veikkaus's digital games to competition, pharmacy regulation where the requirement to hold online stock in a bricks-and-mortar pharmacy looks set to go and the licensed-pharmacist ownership rule is described as guild-like, and alcohol, where a rise to eight per cent is expected and distance selling looks like a threshold issue. The sharpest analysis concerns the housing allowance: a cut of some 350 million euros where the mechanism, not the size, determines who it lands on — removing the 300-euro earned-income deduction would fall on those with some earnings rather than on the unemployed. The strongest structural claim is that Finland has moved from a system in which three large parties took turns and each government continued where the last left off to a zigzag of blocs, evidenced by the nearly 1.5 billion euros of permanent spending added in 2019 and by the fact that reversing a predecessor's decisions is now discussed at all. Junkkari and Miettinen disagree on the record about whether the social affairs ministry's impact assessments can be trusted, and about whether the wellbeing services counties should get taxation powers. The episode closes on the opposition's differing profiles, Antti Lindtman's expected rise at the head of the Social Democrats, the EU's support packages and rising protectionism, and a forecast that no presidential candidate will take more than 20 per cent in the first round.",
  "chapters": [
    {
      "t": "00:00",
      "title": "The guest introduces himself; political humour",
      "seconds": 0
    },
    {
      "t": "00:52",
      "title": "The programme is late and the leaks are few",
      "seconds": 52
    },
    {
      "t": "01:45",
      "title": "Party conferences and the Swedish People's Party's discomfort",
      "seconds": 105
    },
    {
      "t": "02:36",
      "title": "Sofia Virta as the Greens' new leader",
      "seconds": 156
    },
    {
      "t": "03:26",
      "title": "The Greens and graduating earnings-related unemployment benefit",
      "seconds": 206
    },
    {
      "t": "04:16",
      "title": "Right-wing government or bourgeois government",
      "seconds": 256
    },
    {
      "t": "05:07",
      "title": "The left-right axis and the values map",
      "seconds": 307
    },
    {
      "t": "05:58",
      "title": "The GAL-TAN division and its problems",
      "seconds": 358
    },
    {
      "t": "06:49",
      "title": "Group dynamics in the Swedish People's Party and the Finns Party",
      "seconds": 409
    },
    {
      "t": "07:38",
      "title": "The Blue-and-Black Movement on the values map",
      "seconds": 458
    },
    {
      "t": "08:31",
      "title": "Alcohol, the gambling monopoly and pharmacies",
      "seconds": 511
    },
    {
      "t": "09:23",
      "title": "Online pharmacies and the licensed-pharmacist requirement",
      "seconds": 563
    },
    {
      "t": "10:15",
      "title": "Over-the-counter medicines in grocery shops",
      "seconds": 615
    },
    {
      "t": "11:09",
      "title": "Eight per cent wines, and a comparison",
      "seconds": 669
    },
    {
      "t": "11:59",
      "title": "How reliable are the social affairs ministry's impact assessments",
      "seconds": 719
    },
    {
      "t": "12:48",
      "title": "THL's alcohol forecasts were partly wrong",
      "seconds": 768
    },
    {
      "t": "13:39",
      "title": "How young people's drinking habits have changed",
      "seconds": 819
    },
    {
      "t": "14:30",
      "title": "The housing allowance cut and the income deduction",
      "seconds": 870
    },
    {
      "t": "15:23",
      "title": "Otaniemi and the temporarily low-income",
      "seconds": 923
    },
    {
      "t": "16:14",
      "title": "Containing expenditure growth in the wellbeing services counties",
      "seconds": 974
    },
    {
      "t": "17:02",
      "title": "The three big parties' monopoly has broken",
      "seconds": 1022
    },
    {
      "t": "17:53",
      "title": "Permanent spending added by Rinne's government",
      "seconds": 1073
    },
    {
      "t": "18:46",
      "title": "Postponing the nurse staffing ratio",
      "seconds": 1126
    },
    {
      "t": "19:34",
      "title": "The Centre Party in opposition alongside the left",
      "seconds": 1174
    },
    {
      "t": "20:27",
      "title": "The solidarity tax and the income tax cut",
      "seconds": 1227
    },
    {
      "t": "21:17",
      "title": "VAT rates, and Denmark's single rate",
      "seconds": 1277
    },
    {
      "t": "22:06",
      "title": "Travel expense claims and the inefficiency of the tax system",
      "seconds": 1326
    },
    {
      "t": "22:58",
      "title": "The model for graduating earnings-related benefit",
      "seconds": 1378
    },
    {
      "t": "23:49",
      "title": "Strike fines and the tax deductibility of union fees",
      "seconds": 1429
    },
    {
      "t": "24:39",
      "title": "Two billion in direct cuts",
      "seconds": 1479
    },
    {
      "t": "25:29",
      "title": "The Finns Party as Finland's largest workers' party",
      "seconds": 1529
    },
    {
      "t": "26:17",
      "title": "The Finns Party's market-friendly turn",
      "seconds": 1577
    },
    {
      "t": "27:08",
      "title": "The Swedish People's Party, the Finns Party and development aid money",
      "seconds": 1628
    },
    {
      "t": "27:58",
      "title": "Income thresholds for work-based immigration",
      "seconds": 1678
    },
    {
      "t": "28:51",
      "title": "Universal applicability and local bargaining",
      "seconds": 1731
    },
    {
      "t": "29:39",
      "title": "The wicked equation of health and social care",
      "seconds": 1779
    },
    {
      "t": "30:31",
      "title": "Taxation powers for the wellbeing services counties",
      "seconds": 1831
    },
    {
      "t": "31:22",
      "title": "A fourth level of taxation as a risk",
      "seconds": 1882
    },
    {
      "t": "32:11",
      "title": "The opposition's cards and profiles",
      "seconds": 1931
    },
    {
      "t": "33:03",
      "title": "Lindtman at the head of the Social Democrats",
      "seconds": 1983
    },
    {
      "t": "33:55",
      "title": "The EU support packages and the Finns Party's threshold",
      "seconds": 2035
    },
    {
      "t": "34:47",
      "title": "Conscience votes as an alternative",
      "seconds": 2087
    },
    {
      "t": "35:38",
      "title": "The Ukraine package and the sovereignty fund",
      "seconds": 2138
    },
    {
      "t": "36:27",
      "title": "Protectionism and the loosening of state aid rules",
      "seconds": 2187
    },
    {
      "t": "37:17",
      "title": "What to read first in the government programme",
      "seconds": 2237
    },
    {
      "t": "38:09",
      "title": "Succession and series recommendations",
      "seconds": 2289
    },
    {
      "t": "39:00",
      "title": "Trump's court process in Florida",
      "seconds": 2340
    },
    {
      "t": "40:43",
      "title": "Why the indictments do not break his support",
      "seconds": 2443
    },
    {
      "t": "41:34",
      "title": "The Republican opinion package",
      "seconds": 2494
    },
    {
      "t": "42:26",
      "title": "Polarisation and the building of bubbles",
      "seconds": 2546
    },
    {
      "t": "43:16",
      "title": "Ministerial choices and the Swedish People's Party puzzle",
      "seconds": 2596
    },
    {
      "t": "44:06",
      "title": "Will the parliamentary term leak into the presidential election",
      "seconds": 2646
    },
    {
      "t": "44:58",
      "title": "A tight first round, and the close",
      "seconds": 2698
    }
  ],
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  "subtitleMethod": "none",
  "provenance": "Owner page assembled from YouTube metadata, the neuvottelija.fi episode record and a transcription of the Finnish audio. The chapter marks are the publisher's own list of 53 marks as released with the video, translated into English here; every one falls within ten seconds of a real transcript cue. No English caption track was produced, so no transcript is published here. The transcription contains no gaps. The source for this episode differs from the rest of the batch: it arrived as an unpunctuated .sbv caption file whose cues break mid-sentence, so the Finnish cue file was rewritten cue by cue — punctuation and sentence structure restored, and mangled proper names and terminology corrected (Marko Junkkari, GAL-TAN, Anders Adlercreutz, Antti Lindtman, Olli Rehn, DeSantis, Walt Nauta, the Blue-and-Black Movement, Pietarsaari) — while every cue boundary and timestamp was left byte-identical. Numeric values were not altered. This episode was recorded the day before the government programme was published and is therefore almost entirely forecast: the summary marks the guest's expectations as expectations, attributes assessments to the speaker who made them, records the two places where host and guest disagree rather than resolving them, and does not report any of it as an account of what the programme finally contained. The transcript carries no speaker labels, but with a single guest the speakers are reliably distinguishable.",
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