{"title": "Finland's Food and Energy Crisis | Tuomas Malinen | Negotiator 129", "titleOriginal": "Suomen ruoka- ja energiakriisi | Tuomas Malinen | Neuvottelija 129", "episodeNumber": "129", "guest": "Tuomas Malinen", "publishedAt": "2022-04-02", "duration": "34:28", "durationIso": "PT34M28S", "youtube": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EJSVao-Jm4c", "fiCanonical": "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/fi/episodes/170-suomen-ruoka-ja-energiakriisi-tuomas-malinen-neuvottelija-12", "originalLanguage": "fi", "format": "full", "topics": ["finnish_economy_policy", "geopolitics"], "description": "The economist Tuomas Malinen returns to the studio on April Fool's Day, but the subject is not a joke: Russia and Ukraine together produce a third of the world's exported wheat, sowing will not happen in Ukraine, and Malinen's estimate is that Finland's entire agricultural production could collapse. The cost spike in fertiliser and diesel lands on farms that are already heavily indebted. He calls for the agriculture minister to be replaced and for producer prices to rise. On energy the conversation covers peat and the taxonomy decision, and it closes on accelerating inflation and the European Central Bank's rate rises.", "chapters": [{"t": "00:00", "title": "Tuomas on his way to the World Economic Forum in Davos. April fool!", "seconds": 0}, {"t": "00:56", "title": "The levels of misinformation and war propaganda", "seconds": 56}, {"t": "02:04", "title": "Ukraine and Russia's share of the world's food supply, and the critical state of Finnish security of supply", "seconds": 124}, {"t": "06:35", "title": "The risks in a single Finnish harvest season and the critical state of agriculture. The threat of feed and meat production stopping. The Centre Party's feebleness: Anne Kalmari against Antti Kurvinen", "seconds": 395}, {"t": "09:01", "title": "City economists' carefree view of agriculture. The K and S groups' responsibility for producer prices", "seconds": 541}, {"t": "13:21", "title": "The energy crisis brewing. How Finland could have been a great power in the use of peat. The role of Satu Hassi and the EU", "seconds": 801}, {"t": "19:02", "title": "EU support package II: what might 'precisely bounded and one-off' mean this time? Negotiating aims: peat reclassified as renewable, money for Finland, or no thank you?", "seconds": 1142}, {"t": "23:24", "title": "Putin 'removed Covid'. Is there still reason to worry about the constitution? Which risks actually matter?", "seconds": 1404}, {"t": "25:11", "title": "The Fed's rate rises did not crash the market. Europe's roaring inflation. Electricity generation, the Energiewende and Olkiluoto 3", "seconds": 1511}, {"t": "30:10", "title": "Sobering up in the face of the crisis. Financial support for farms", "seconds": 1810}, {"t": "33:33", "title": "Tuomas's news for April", "seconds": 2013}], "sourceTranscriptType": "none", "subtitleMethod": "none", "provenance": "Owner page assembled from YouTube metadata, the neuvottelija.fi episode record and the publisher's own chapter marks, translated one for one. The marks are genuine: eleven of them, with gaps from 56 to nearly 300 seconds, tracking the recording rather than a grid; the last one's Finnish text carries a stray 34:28 prefix that does not match its own position and has been dropped in translation. No transcript is published here — the channel has no English caption track for this episode and the Finnish one is YouTube's automatic track. The forecast that Finnish agricultural production could collapse is the guest's own and was not borne out in the form stated; several claims in the episode, including those about named ministers and about the constitution, are contested, and nobody holding the opposing view is present. Recorded 2 April 2022.", "coreTheses": ["Finnish agriculture is a one-harvest system: a single season lost to input costs cannot be recovered the following year, which is what makes the risk discontinuous.", "The fertiliser and diesel spike lands on farms already carrying debt, so the binding constraint is financing rather than price.", "Russia and Ukraine's third of exported wheat is a supply fact; whether it becomes a Finnish problem depends on domestic production, not on imports.", "The peat and taxonomy decision is presented as a security-of-supply question that was settled as an environmental one."], "slug": "ep129-suomen-ruoka-ja-energiakriisi-tuomas-malinen", "guestsCanonical": ["Tuomas Malinen"], "guestPages": ["https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/guests/tuomas-malinen/"], "page": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep129-suomen-ruoka-ja-energiakriisi-tuomas-malinen/", "markdown": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep129-suomen-ruoka-ja-energiakriisi-tuomas-malinen/index.md", "captions": null, "transcript": null, "videoId": "EJSVao-Jm4c", "dbId": null, "qaCoveragePct": 0.0, "qaSemanticVerdict": "metadata_only", "aiArticleEn": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/ai/ep129-suomen-ruoka-ja-energiakriisi-tuomas-malinen/", "aiArticleFi": "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/economy/ep129-suomen-ruoka-ja-energiakriisi-tuomas-malinen/"}