{"title": "Ukraine, Niinistö and NATO | Sami Miettinen | Negotiator 124", "titleOriginal": "Ukraina Niinistö NATO | Sami Miettinen | Neuvottelija 124", "episodeNumber": "124", "guest": "Sami Miettinen", "publishedAt": "2022-03-05", "duration": "17:28", "durationIso": "PT17M28S", "youtube": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_HPGBafjuK0", "fiCanonical": "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/fi/episodes/161-ukraina-niinisto-nato-sami-miettinen-neuvottelija-124", "originalLanguage": "fi", "format": "full", "topics": ["geopolitics"], "description": "Sami Miettinen answers viewer requests with a solo episode on Russia's war of aggression, Finland's road to NATO and the resilience of the monetary system. In the war's second week the Russian advance is stalling, the forty-kilometre column approaching Kyiv is stuck in mud, and the air force in particular has been exposed as weak — a significant observation for Finland. Miettinen's view is that Finland and Sweden will apply for NATO membership in spring 2022 and will get in, and that the risk of applying is at its lowest right now. The second half unpacks the sanctions: what Swift actually is, and how central bank money moves.", "chapters": [], "sourceTranscriptType": "none", "subtitleMethod": "none", "provenance": "Owner page assembled from YouTube metadata and the neuvottelija.fi episode record. The publisher published no chapter marks for this episode, so none are listed here. No transcript is published either — the channel has no English caption track for this episode and the Finnish one is YouTube's automatic track. This is a solo episode, recorded on 5 March 2022 in the war's second week: the host is the only speaker, no military or diplomatic source is present, and the battlefield assessments are those of that week. The NATO forecast in it was subsequently borne out, which the page states because the same archive records forecasts that were not.", "coreTheses": ["The forecast that Finland and Sweden would apply in spring 2022 and be admitted was made in the war's second week, and it held.", "The timing argument is the interesting one: the risk of applying is lowest while Russia's forces are committed elsewhere, which makes speed a security measure.", "The weakness of the Russian air force is the observation with the most direct consequences for Finnish defence planning.", "Swift is a messaging network rather than a payment system, and most public commentary on the sanctions confused the two."], "slug": "ep124-ukraina-niinisto-nato-sami-miettinen", "guestsCanonical": [], "guestPages": [], "page": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep124-ukraina-niinisto-nato-sami-miettinen/", "markdown": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/podcast/episodes/ep124-ukraina-niinisto-nato-sami-miettinen/index.md", "captions": null, "transcript": null, "videoId": "_HPGBafjuK0", "dbId": null, "qaCoveragePct": 0.0, "qaSemanticVerdict": "metadata_only", "aiArticleEn": "https://www.neuvottelija.com/ai/ep124-ukraina-niinisto-nato-sami-miettinen/", "aiArticleFi": "https://www.neuvottelija.fi/yhteiskunta/ep124-ukraina-niinisto-nato-sami-miettinen/"}